Ventures of an ex indie game developer

Incontinetia Buttocks

Just because I'm paranoid doesn't mean they're not out to get me. As usual, here's backtesting of my latest and greatest trading strat:


Note that soon after I launched comes the first "recession." All the other downhill slopes are harsh, but this last one is more gradually inching down — although there's not much price action.

This is not the first time this has happened.

The question is if my backtesting is overly precise. Like overfitting for an ANN. Or if my paranoia isn't paranoia at all.

My one minute trader is doing a lot better now though, since it has five years worth of high quality data. But lately it's just been holding steady (if you think +90%/-35% is steady, that is).

Whereas this one second trader has a much shorter period, albeit a lot more data. Six months price data is 15,552,000 candles.

So the question is if I scrap this idea, or simply put it on hold until the time is right?

Hard to tell. When things are going well, I feel like Biggus. But now I feel more like Incontinentia. Since the exchange supply is lower than ever (both BTC and ETH), I think my Biggus times are coming back soon.

About the author

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Gothenburg, Sweden