In the last few months I've finally come up with The Final Solution to how to trade, Quiver. Sure, my old algo, Twerk, would probably have worked too eventually, but Quiver's stability during backtesting seems hard to beat:
The top plot is Bitcoin monthly prices. The bottom plot is a high leverage optimal simulation of funds. At least I've almost caught up to the money I've lost (this time around), so it seems to work at least somewhat like advertised! :-P
Now in the beginning I'll do some manual tweaks to jumpstart the profits, but after that I'll just leave it on. When... if the bot makes me some money, I'll put some in other exchanges. If that works too, I'll probably create a small variation which works on the stock market.
So, is this finally it? Is four years of constant stress soon over? I doubt that it is just yet, but it would be really nice to get some spare change for travelling. In fact, I've been thinking the last few years about minimalism. Would be nice to get rid of all junk, and just keep the stuff I need. And spend the money travelling, skiing, swimming. Instead of once every two years — three times per year! And work part-time with this and that. Coding a bit. Inventing. That's what my dream looks like now.
Let's see if I'm closer to that dream in a 3 months, which is the ETA for my next milestone.